TWO polls released Monday indicated the current coalition would not succeed in building a government if elections were held today, amid the chaos of its judicial overhaul plans, but an array of parties in the opposition could form a replacement coalition.
The polls published by Channel 12 news and Kan news both showed a major blow dealt to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party, dropping to just 25 seats from the 32 it holds in the current Knesset.
Opposition leader Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party would shrink slightly to 22 seats according to both polls, down from the 24 it currently controls. But the big winner appears to be National Unity party leader Benny Gantz, whose party would receive 23 seats according to Channel 12 and 21 seats according to Kan, soaring from the 12 it holds now.
The rest of the party distribution would remain similar to that in the current Knesset. The combined Religious Zionism-Otzma Yehudit slate would receive 12 seats according to Channel 12 and 11 seats according to Kan, down from the 14 it controls now.
The Kan poll predicted that left-wing Labor and Meretz — which failed to cross the electoral threshold in last year’s election — would receive 4 seats each, while Channel 12’s survey suggested that Labor would fall below the threshold and Meretz would receive 5 seats.
Together the parties in the current coalition — Likud, Shas, United Torah Judaism and Religious Zionism-Otzma Yehudit — would only receive 53 or 54 seats, according to the polls, leaving it far from able to form a 61-seat majority coalition.
But opposition parties Yesh Atid, National Unity, Labor, Meretz, Yisrael Beytenu and Ra’am — all members of the former government — would potentially be able to form a 61- or 62-seat coalition.
Respondents in the Kan poll who were asked to choose between Netanyahu and Lapid to lead the country, backed the prime minister with only 31%, and the opposition leader with 32%. In a matchup between Gantz and Netanyahu, the former defense minister received 37% of support, compared to 30% for the Likud leader. Times of Israel
